The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail--but Some Don't

From the statistician who correctly predicted the outcomes of multiple U.S. elections, Nate Silver examines why so many forecasts—from economics to weather to politics—go wrong, and why a few succeed. With sharp analysis and engaging storytelling, he explores the difference between “noise” (misleading data) and “signal” (meaningful patterns), showing how we can make better decisions in an uncertain world.

A fascinating blend of science, statistics, and real-world examples, The Signal and the Noise is perfect for readers interested in probability, data, and the art of accurate prediction.

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